Local Crime Trend Analysis

Much of the data analysis described above could be used to make simple predictions about the way in which local crime trends are likely to fluctuate in the near future. For instance, a temporal analysis of crime might indicate that crime rates fluctuate seasonally according to seasonally changing leisure habits (for instance, more town centre drinking during the summer) or seasonal changes in populations (for instance, an influx of tourists during the summer or seasonal agricultural workers in the summer and autumn). Such trends should be used to shape the development of strategies.

Developing formal models to predict local crime trends would be a more complicated and resource intensive exercise.

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