Phase 1 (Pre-implementation)

By

Done

1. Establish baseline

Agree period prior to implementation for which evidence on anti-social behaviour on targeted housing estates will be available or collected, and gather data.

Data for the baseline period will help assess whether change has occurred. This data needs collecting before the project starts.

Gathering data for individual estates will help in assessing the impact of the various improvements made.

2. Identify comparable area(s)

Comparing changes in the project area with what is happening elsewhere is important in establishing whether any changes are the result of the project, or are likely to have happened anyway.

Comparators should include:

1. the wider area
2. another area similar to the project area.

In this case, look to gather data on malicious arson housing estates not covered by the initiative. This will help to check for possible displacement.

3. Calculate the estimated cost malicious arson on housing estates targeted

This is important to establish whether the steps taken are cost effective.

 

Phase 2 Project implementation

Monitor:

• the number, timing and cost of security improvements against targets set in the action plan.
• the number, timing and cost of policing operations against targets set in the action plan, plus numbers of arrests
• Usage/revenues in target car parks.

5. Seek views from those involved.

Interview relevant partnership officers and local public about their views of the project.

Gather data on malicious arson incidents for target housing estates and comparison areas.

Phase 3: (Post implementation)

7. Evaluate project outcomes and compare with baseline

Calculate changes in malicious arson incidents on targeted housing estates

Calculate the costs of the initiative

Estimate the savings and compare the two.

Assess the extent to which costs have been offset by increased housing revenues, decreases in officer time putting out the fire & investigating

9. Examine trends on individual housing estates to assess the relative effectiveness of different types of measure.